Pre-tourney Rankings
Appalachian St.
Sun Belt
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.1#260
Expected Predictive Rating-6.7#266
Pace76.2#56
Improvement+2.0#99

Offense
Total Offense-2.3#227
First Shot-4.1#291
After Offensive Rebound+1.8#53
Layup/Dunks-4.8#334
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#152
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#174
Freethrows+0.4#143
Improvement+1.0#137

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#275
First Shot-4.8#316
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#80
Layups/Dunks-2.7#288
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#317
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#95
Freethrows-1.2#245
Improvement+0.9#125
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2015 273   Jacksonville W 76-68 65%     1 - 0 -2.1 -6.3 +3.8
  Nov 17, 2015 168   Furman L 70-79 40%     1 - 1 -12.4 -1.4 -11.5
  Nov 20, 2015 249   @ Hampton L 61-82 36%     1 - 2 -23.3 -18.1 -3.1
  Nov 22, 2015 192   @ Tulane L 48-76 25%     1 - 3 -27.0 -22.9 -2.9
  Nov 26, 2015 280   Liberty W 73-62 56%     2 - 3 +3.4 -1.5 +5.3
  Nov 27, 2015 190   Mercer L 70-71 34%     2 - 4 -2.8 +1.0 -3.9
  Nov 29, 2015 54   Stephen F. Austin L 84-94 8%     2 - 5 -0.2 +10.8 -10.4
  Dec 06, 2015 96   Hofstra L 80-86 13%     2 - 6 -0.2 +5.7 -5.8
  Dec 15, 2015 30   @ Texas L 55-67 3%     2 - 7 +3.7 -8.8 +12.2
  Dec 19, 2015 195   Charlotte L 66-82 45%     2 - 8 -21.0 -9.0 -12.5
  Dec 21, 2015 3   @ North Carolina L 70-94 1%     2 - 9 -0.9 +2.1 -1.1
  Dec 31, 2015 139   @ Louisiana Monroe L 56-72 15%     2 - 10 0 - 1 -11.2 -14.4 +2.9
  Jan 02, 2016 126   @ Louisiana L 58-79 14%     2 - 11 0 - 2 -15.5 -17.5 +3.4
  Jan 07, 2016 107   Texas Arlington L 67-71 23%     2 - 12 0 - 3 -2.5 -12.2 +10.2
  Jan 09, 2016 219   Texas St. W 76-56 51%     3 - 12 1 - 3 +13.6 +1.9 +11.7
  Jan 14, 2016 77   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 55-81 7%     3 - 13 1 - 4 -15.9 -10.5 -6.1
  Jan 16, 2016 257   @ Arkansas St. W 86-72 38%     4 - 13 2 - 4 +10.9 +3.1 +6.3
  Jan 21, 2016 198   Georgia St. W 76-67 46%     5 - 13 3 - 4 +3.9 -3.7 +6.7
  Jan 25, 2016 216   Georgia Southern L 100-101 51%     5 - 14 3 - 5 -7.3 +9.8 -17.0
  Jan 28, 2016 285   @ Troy W 75-71 46%     6 - 14 4 - 5 -1.0 -5.6 +4.2
  Jan 30, 2016 265   @ South Alabama L 60-73 40%     6 - 15 4 - 6 -16.5 -11.4 -4.9
  Feb 04, 2016 126   Louisiana L 76-87 29%     6 - 16 4 - 7 -11.3 -7.3 -2.8
  Feb 06, 2016 139   Louisiana Monroe L 90-91 31%     6 - 17 4 - 8 -2.1 +13.2 -15.3
  Feb 11, 2016 219   @ Texas St. L 68-69 30%     6 - 18 4 - 9 -1.6 +2.4 -4.1
  Feb 13, 2016 107   @ Texas Arlington L 60-91 11%     6 - 19 4 - 10 -23.6 -13.4 -7.5
  Feb 18, 2016 265   South Alabama L 71-75 62%     6 - 20 4 - 11 -13.3 -7.2 -5.8
  Feb 20, 2016 285   Troy W 78-74 68%     7 - 20 5 - 11 -6.9 +1.9 -8.7
  Feb 25, 2016 216   @ Georgia Southern L 63-88 29%     7 - 21 5 - 12 -25.5 -15.6 -8.1
  Feb 27, 2016 198   @ Georgia St. L 70-83 25%     7 - 22 5 - 13 -12.3 +3.2 -16.1
  Mar 03, 2016 77   Arkansas Little Rock W 69-63 16%     8 - 22 6 - 13 +10.2 +2.5 +8.0
  Mar 05, 2016 257   Arkansas St. W 80-73 61%     9 - 22 7 - 13 -1.9 -5.7 +3.0
Projected Record 9.0 - 22.0 7.0 - 13.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13 100.0% 100.0
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%